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Old 10-10-2012, 10:33 AM
dtc100 dtc100 is offline
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Originally Posted by Lorenzzo View Post
When I was in Shenzhen in September, it seemed as though the government was encouraging protests but things quickly spiraled past what they'd have wanted. Now they're trying to tone it down at the citizen level. The population is still very angry about WWII and feels government acquisition of the islands is effectively a continuation of the resource raid WWII was for China. There are plenty of people whose grandmothers were raped by the Japanese who'd like a what for with Japan.

The Chinese government is pretty smart. With China and Japan the second and third largest world economies they can't afford continuing escalations. Japan has even more incentive to avoid conflict insofar as they can't defend themselves and we sure aren't going to do it.

Look for compromise and diplomatic solutions, achieved slowly and carefully so as to preserve face.
Japan's vulnerability is not national security, rather limited resources (why they invaded their neighbors) and an aging population. As their economy continues to suffer, the politicians fan nationalism as an answer. The Chinese government has always used nationalism to its advantage to control the population and suppress the critics.

BTW, China has risen so much there is no looking back, the advances in infrastructures there were mind boggling after two trips there ten years apart. They can only defeat themselves in their own game.

Last edited by dtc100; 10-10-2012 at 10:51 AM.
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