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  #1051  
Old 01-05-2013, 07:23 AM
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Paul335i Paul335i is offline
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I look for companies that are targets for takeovers. I made a killing on Metro PCS. I currently hold Leap Wireless (LEAP) in my portfolio. There are rumors that it may be bought out.
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  #1052  
Old 01-05-2013, 09:31 AM
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I look for companies that are targets for takeovers. I made a killing on Metro PCS. I currently hold Leap Wireless (LEAP) in my portfolio. There are rumors that it may be bought out.
That company has $2.7 billion dollars of debt. Company stock is valued at roughly $535 million dollars and that is roughly at today's stock price of $7. Their debt is roughly 4 times stock value on market.

http://online.barrons.com/article/SB50001424052748703792204578217730828507730.html?m od=BOL_hpp_dc
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  #1053  
Old 01-05-2013, 12:57 PM
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Originally Posted by EC7 View Post
think its time to get in S (long)?
There's a bit of risk to get in at this time, but it could also be rewarding. Sprint's been a turn-around story in the past a couple years. I got in early so I had quite a bit of roller-coaster ride, but it's not till early last year that the market's finally see the trend turning positive.

Bottom line is, understand how Softbank buys the 70% of Sprint and see how much you value the company, at this point I think (again, that's just me) is around 6.5. It's been trading under $6 for a long long time.

The risks are:
- Churn resulted from shutting down iDEN
- Buying CLWR
- Improve LTE coverage and Network Vision progress

Last edited by Griffoun; 01-05-2013 at 12:59 PM.
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  #1054  
Old 01-07-2013, 02:39 PM
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Very interesting and relatively heavy $10 Calls on Sprint traded today on different expiration dates.

I'm looking for strong volume to propel Sprint above $6...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul335i View Post
I look for companies that are targets for takeovers. I made a killing on Metro PCS. I currently hold Leap Wireless (LEAP) in my portfolio. There are rumors that it may be bought out.
I hope you've already cashed out on PCS.

LEAP will be bought out eventually, it's also interesting to see how it's been slowing climbing up since the dust have settled after TMobile-MetroPCS merger, as well as the transactions between Softbank-Sprint-Clearwire. Also take a look at USM (US Cellular), USM and LEAP would benefit in consolidation. It gave up competing with the big 4 on its home turf Chicago by selling its spectrum to Sprint and focus on rural area, so the management could be looking into exit strategy.

Last edited by Griffoun; 01-07-2013 at 02:48 PM.
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  #1055  
Old 01-08-2013, 02:20 AM
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Originally Posted by Griffoun View Post
Very interesting and relatively heavy $10 Calls on Sprint traded today on different expiration dates.

I'm looking for strong volume to propel Sprint above $6...



I hope you've already cashed out on PCS.

LEAP will be bought out eventually, it's also interesting to see how it's been slowing climbing up since the dust have settled after TMobile-MetroPCS merger, as well as the transactions between Softbank-Sprint-Clearwire. Also take a look at USM (US Cellular), USM and LEAP would benefit in consolidation. It gave up competing with the big 4 on its home turf Chicago by selling its spectrum to Sprint and focus on rural area, so the management could be looking into exit strategy.

Where are you looking? I did not see any heavy call action on the $10 calls
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  #1056  
Old 01-08-2013, 06:41 AM
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Where are you looking? I did not see any heavy call action on the $10 calls



Last edited by Griffoun; 01-08-2013 at 06:43 AM.
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  #1057  
Old 01-08-2013, 06:56 AM
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Just saw that.. Kind of odd though. Zero volume today with same interest.
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  #1058  
Old 01-08-2013, 07:03 AM
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Just saw that.. Kind of odd though. Zero volume today with same interest.
The day's still early. Besides S may or may not get above $6. It's just a theory from chart's perspective.
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  #1059  
Old 01-08-2013, 07:26 AM
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The day's still early. Besides S may or may not get above $6. It's just a theory from chart's perspective.
RIMM and LVS should be interesting this month. I am thinking RIMM takes another crack $14 and LVS at $55-60
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  #1060  
Old 01-08-2013, 01:07 PM
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RIMM and LVS should be interesting this month. I am thinking RIMM takes another crack $14 and LVS at $55-60
RIMM reminds me of PALM before the launch of WebOS, the stock was trading at similar range, only to tank after the lukewarm reception of Palm Pre.

However RIMM has a pretty big user base, so maybe it would turn out differently than Palm this time.

Volume is back on S, it was down almost 20 cents in the morning along with VZ and T, but recovered well and ended up a penny in the end! Green hammer with strong volume baby!! Amazing, S has been going up in the last 12 trading sessions.

Last edited by Griffoun; 01-08-2013 at 01:22 PM.
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  #1061  
Old 01-09-2013, 06:55 AM
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I'm cancelling Dish just because what this guy has cost me...

I don't think DISH can buy CLWR at all with $3.3 which doesn't look sincere to begin with, and that also proves to Crest Financial that CLWR doesn't worth what they think should be.

Will see if S can recover today and back in the green today.

Last edited by Griffoun; 01-09-2013 at 06:58 AM.
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  #1062  
Old 01-09-2013, 07:14 AM
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LVS was up around 2.5% yesterday and up another 2.21% today as of now at $53.26. Yesterday it dipped under $50 which was a great time buy the dip.
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  #1063  
Old 01-09-2013, 07:17 AM
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Originally Posted by stylinexpat View Post
LVS was up around 2.5% yesterday and up another 2.21% today as of now at $53.26. Yesterday it dipped under $50 which was a great time buy the dip.
True, it could make another run to 60.

MPEL is already skyhigh... too risky at this level.
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  #1064  
Old 01-09-2013, 08:17 AM
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True, it could make another run to 60.

MPEL is already skyhigh... too risky at this level.
I think this year is the top for this bull run that we have had for the last few years. Hard to predict when we top off but I feel that we are definitely within 5-10% at most of topping off and entering a bear market after.

If the market holds and does not crash then it should make its run to $55-60 but if the market drops then it will drop with the market.
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  #1065  
Old 01-11-2013, 08:10 AM
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The day's still early. Besides S may or may not get above $6. It's just a theory from chart's perspective.
What I am talking about...and hoping for

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  #1066  
Old 01-11-2013, 11:23 AM
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39K+ call and put contracts for S $10 Jan14 changed hands! What kind of strategy would it be?!

Straddle?

Last edited by Griffoun; 01-11-2013 at 11:39 AM.
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  #1067  
Old 01-11-2013, 10:16 PM
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RIMM and LVS should be interesting this month. I am thinking RIMM takes another crack $14 and LVS at $55-60
RIMM did well this Friday with great gains
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  #1068  
Old 01-14-2013, 07:48 AM
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RIMM did well this Friday with great gains
Up another 10% as of now. Possibility it runs to $20 from here. In bull mode now.

4th quarter earnings should be bad though. Quite bad from my opinion.
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  #1069  
Old 01-14-2013, 08:42 AM
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Up another 10% as of now. Possibility it runs to $20 from here. In bull mode now.

4th quarter earnings should be bad though. Quite bad from my opinion.
I doubt investors care what has already happened. If BB10 indeed launches at the end of this month and the momentum carriers forward for at least 2 quarters (which would be better than Palm's WebOS launch), then yes RIMM might survive, or else it would go down into history.
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  #1070  
Old 01-14-2013, 12:01 PM
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Up another 10% as of now. Possibility it runs to $20 from here. In bull mode now.

4th quarter earnings should be bad though. Quite bad from my opinion.
I agree, I'll wait until the latest earnings before I make a buy.

Long term, they aren't too viable but a quick profit opportunity may be available.

Your thoughts on when to buy? I'm thinking 11-12'ish
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  #1071  
Old 01-14-2013, 01:22 PM
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I'm cancelling Dish just because what this guy has cost me...

I don't think DISH can buy CLWR at all with $3.3 which doesn't look sincere to begin with, and that also proves to Crest Financial that CLWR doesn't worth what they think should be.

Will see if S can recover today and back in the green today.
DISH totally ruined the party (which is exactly what it wanted to, mission accomplished).

Quote:
Originally Posted by GeneArch View Post
I agree, I'll wait until the latest earnings before I make a buy.

Long term, they aren't too viable but a quick profit opportunity may be available.

Your thoughts on when to buy? I'm thinking 11-12'ish
If you really want to wait till <$12, that means the current up-trend would be over, and you'd better hope it didn't drop below $11 which is about where the current 50MA is.

Again I don't think the up-coming earning call will have much impact to the share price.

Last edited by Griffoun; 01-14-2013 at 01:27 PM.
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  #1072  
Old 01-14-2013, 06:43 PM
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I agree, I'll wait until the latest earnings before I make a buy.

Long term, they aren't too viable but a quick profit opportunity may be available.

Your thoughts on when to buy? I'm thinking 11-12'ish
I have been wondering how the market was going to play earnings this time around. Usually when earnings numbers are bad the stock tanks and earnings numbers can't possibly be any good for 4th quarter as Blackberry fans and newbies are all awaiting the new release of the new smartphones with the new OS10 and the bulls are already taking the lead with future BB sales which in my pinion should be quite good.

Provided that the stock market does not crash and 4th quarter earnings are not horribly bad this stock should see $18-20 in my opinion. $10 or less should be a good entry. Was good to get in the other day when I posted.

Let me check which day they report earnings first.
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  #1073  
Old 01-17-2013, 05:11 PM
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Here's one perspective on the current AAPL situation

Compelling piece by Joe Springer on Apple's stock price, from back in November:

Quote:
So here is our logic to being patient. It is threefold:

Apple had an enormous amount of call options speculation related to its Summer surge

A huge share of this was calls with a strike of around the current price of $550 and higher that expire January 19 2013

The institutional money managers that wrote those call options and bought common stock to cover will make a lot of money if a) those options expire worthless, and then b) Apple runs after that expiration date

Billions of dollars at stake if AAPL stays near or under $500 a share until January 19 and then makes a run after that. No tinfoil hat required to see the motivation here. (Via Loren Brichter.)
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  #1074  
Old 01-17-2013, 05:36 PM
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Here's one perspective on the current AAPL situation

Compelling piece by Joe Springer on Apple's stock price, from back in November:
I would probably buy some February $550 calls then lol.. They always take the opposite side to the cleaners and either run up or down after.
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  #1075  
Old 01-22-2013, 07:20 AM
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RIMM is up about 10% today
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